News & Event
Oil Near $100 Poised for Weekly Gain Amid Middle East Tension

By Christian Schmollinger - Dec 2, 2011 10:43 AM GMT+0700

Oil headed for its first weekly gain in three as the clash between Iran and the West heightened speculation that Middle East supply may be at risk, countering concern of faltering demand in the U.S., China and Europe.

Futures were little changed near $100 a barrel, heading for a 3.5 percent gain this week. The U.K. ordered Iran, the second- biggest oil producer in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, to close its embassy in London yesterday after a mob attack on the British legation in Tehran bought international condemnation. European governments tightened sanctions in a clampdown on the Persia Gulf country’s nuclear program.

“We have a dangerous possibility of a war, at the worst, so we always have to put some premium in this market,” said Ken Hasegawa, a commodity sales manager at broker Newedge Group in Tokyo, who sees New York oil futures trading between $98.50 and $101.50. “Even though the economic situation is worse than at the beginning of the year, the oil price will be staying at this high level.”

Crude for January delivery was at $100.15 a barrel, down 0.1 percent, in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 11:11 a.m. in Singapore today. It earlier declined as much as 31 cents to $99.89 a barrel. Futures rose 7.7 percent in November.

Brent oil for January settlement was at $109.38 a barrel, up 31 cents, on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The contract slid $1.53, or 1.4 percent, to $108.99 yesterday.

The European contract’s premium to West Texas Intermediate crude traded in New York widened 46 cents to $9.25 a barrel. The spread surged to a record high of $27.88 on Oct. 14.

Jobless Rate

The U.S. may have added 125,000 new workers last month, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists before a report later today. That is considered too few to reduce 9 percent unemployment in the world’s largest oil user.

The country added another 402,000 first time seekers of unemployment insurance, according to data released yesterday.

A manufacturing gauge based on a survey of purchasing managers in the 17-nation euro region fell to 46.4 from 47.1 in October, London-based Markit Economics said today. That’s the lowest level since July 2009.

China’s manufacturing contracted in November for the first time since February 2009, a purchasing managers’ index compiled by the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing showed.

The U.S. and China were responsible for 32 percent of global oil consumption in 2010, according to BP Plc’s Statistical Review of World Energy released on June 8. The 17 countries using the euro accounted for about 12 percent of world demand last year, BP figures show.

To contact the reporter on this story: Jacob Adelman in Tokyo at jadelman1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alexander Kwiatkowski at akwiatkowsk2@bloomberg.net